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Martinez's audit | Main | Senate race radio ad »

August 12, 2006

The St. Petersburg Times poll

Check out the results of the newspaper's new poll:

Governors's race: Jim Davis is opening up a lead in the still unpredictable Democratic gubernatorial primary, while on the Republican side Charlie Crist barely looks like he's in a race. Full story is here

Senate race: U.S. Rep. Katherine Harris holds a commanding lead over three largely unknown opponents in the race to be the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate this fall. Full story is here

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the St. Crist times poll, give us all a break will ya! That is pretty funny!!

Another poll released this week shows Davis only has a 1 pt lead. What gives???

I've had it with these polls !!! I'm also voting for Rod Smith !!

Maybe this poll would have some credibility if they weren't so openly against Tom Gallagher. How silly!

Losers always say "polls don't matter" and question the validity of polls, when most all of the polls show the same thing.

Gallagher would have to move a point per day to to win. Ain't gonna happen.

Thirty percent of the vote will be cast by September 5th.

8:30

Agreed, and Gallagher needs to learn an important lesson: don't make an enemy of the media.

I hear from a solid source that Davis may be running out of hard money and may be pulling back his ad buy.

A poll of REGISTERED voters 4 weeks before a primary? Let's look at likely voters. That's pathetic.

Gallagher raised a total of 225 dollars, not counting 200 he had to refund, for a net of 25 bucks for the most recent period. Need we say more?

Gallagher raised a total of 225 dollars, not counting 200 he had to refund, for a net of 25 bucks for the most recent period. Need we say more?

Taxing Tommy is back!

Maybe Davis can pick Gallagher as his running mate. The taxing unity team.

Talk about someone who is out of touch with real Floridians...

"I don't know why anybody would ask for more than that," said Gallagher, who is the state's chief financial officer.

(Could it be that voters can't use the state trasury as their personal piggy bank, reward their cronies, and day trade while they should be working on the insurance crisis? People who have used government to make them millionaires might not understand that this would be a great benefit to our seniors)

Davis and Gallagher oppose homestead hike

8:31--

In fairness to Adam, I checked. It was probable voters based on the past two primaries.Pretty reasonable for a "curiosity poll" by a news[a[er as opposed to what we'd want as a tool in a campaign...

Actually, the poll referred to "registered voters" and did not specify whether only Republicans were asked to weigh in on the Republican primary. Unscientific at best, contrived, at best.

But then, this whole week of orcjestrated nonsense endorsements alleged leaks and rehashing to 2-week old news has been contrived to push Gallagher out of the race.

All I can say is: when the media push a Republican to win - we know he's no Republican.

ADAM

Give it up!

The St. Pete Times is becoming the statewide laughing stock of journalistic objectivity.

Go Tom!

TG knows the issues, Charlie DOES NOT.

gopn1

What a joke... Give it up Adam. We know you have been promised Communication Director once Crisie gets elected but please cut it out.

If I was Tom Gallagher and was so sure of myself becoming the next governor of Florida I would start using my own money. Let’s go Tom if you want to see people rally behind you put your own money up, once people see this they will surly donate.

gopN1

Why doesn't the St. Peterburg Times REPORT on the issues that DO matter to the voters:

What are the candidates' relative positions on thigs like insurance, education, taxes, transportation?

Instead, Lightweight Charlie constantly gets a pass. He says nothing, answers nothing and the paper keeps giving him a pass.

You can tell a lot about a candidate by the support he gets from his wife. Where's Charlie's wife in this campaign?

Tom Gallagher - Dead Man Walking!

With support like her's I'd get rid of my wife.

The only support she'll be giving Tom is financial because Tom won't be able to get a job.

Support from her, was she the one that gave the $25.00 so they could stay in the black.

Support like "Oh honey you should stay in this race" please!

Hey fake gopn1 @9:39 a.m. I see I have gotten to you again, laugh out loud.

Support from her would turn me gay.

Maybe that's what happened to Charlie, 10:10?

Gallagher's camapaign has imploded. Everyone knows this except Gallagher who is in it for HIMSELF!!. GET OUT!!!
--------------------------
Gallagher campaign loses pair
Amid calls to quit race, he lashes out at front-runner
John Kennedy and Jason Garcia | Tallahassee Bureau
Posted August 11, 2006

..."The campaign looks like it's imploding to me," said Guy Spearman, a veteran Tallahassee lobbyist who has contributed to both campaigns. "It seems to me that the only one who isn't seeing this is Tom."
--------------------------------

Sounds like you are running a woman-hating campaign, Charlie...

Guy Spearman would have slept with a watermelon pod under his bed in Invasion of the Body Snatchers. He too has been lulled to sleep by the media.

Go Tom!

This poll represents a snap shot in time as of 8/6-8/9. Regarding CC vs. TG, it seems consistent with most of the results of other polls the past month. It is by no means an aberration.

What a long strange week it has been in Repub land. At that this time last week, the word out of the TG camp was that Tom was mulling whether to stay in or get out of the race. There were rumors of a strong split of opinion within the TG ranks regarding the best course of action. Wednesday the word leaked out that Tom had been persuaded to fight on, that the Brett and Laura faction had triumphed, and launched a putsch to rid Gallagher land of the defeatist elements. On Thursday, Tom announced his decision to fight on surrounded by a band of the faithful, even as key advisers resigned and key supporters slipped quietly into the night.

Now, the only remaining question is how Tom et al will chose to conduct his campaign the last few weeks. Tom has given mixed signals saying, on the one hand, that he intends to abide by the 11th Amendment and, on the other hand, comparing CC to Howard Dean.

Of course, the true test will be what happens on TV. If TG stays positive, CC will stay positive. If TG goes negative, then, CC will undoubtedly return fire.

My own opinion, for what it is worth, is that Laura and the other true believers have seized control of TG central in the last days of the campaign. Tom knows that he is toast, but is not going to buck his strong-willed wife with whom he must live for the rest of his life. In such an environment, who knows what will happen?

---------------------------------
Crist likely to coast onto ballot, poll shows
By ADAM C. SMITH, Times Political Editor
Published August 12, 2006

.."Judy Reinach, a Republican activist in Key Biscayne, said she has known and admired Gallagher for years, but is going with Crist."
---------------------------

---------------------------------
Crist likely to coast onto ballot, poll shows
By ADAM C. SMITH, Times Political Editor
Published August 12, 2006

Crist is from St. Petersburg, and the poll shows him beating Gallagher in the Tampa Bay area 66 percent to 22 percent.
--------------------------


---------------------------------
Crist likely to coast onto ballot, poll shows
By ADAM C. SMITH, Times Political Editor
Published August 12, 2006

..."said Emma Lewis, a Republican senior from Boca Raton...Tom seems to be losing ground....I think Crist is going to be my favorite."
-------------------
ENOUGH SAID!!!

St. Pete Crist Times:
You guys have become a total joke attempting to fool your gullible readership into a hometown Crist-Davis matchup with the most unscientific poll to date.

800 Registered voters from the Tampa Bay area doesn't mean diddly squat. Talk about a skewed sample. Also, appears there was no differentiation between R voters and D voters.
How much did you guys pay for this?

I could have gotten a more representative sample push polling.

Problem you guys aren't contemplating is most of the so called "registered" or "likely" voters won't show up at the voting booth on Sept. 5th.

But the "supervoters" who are being micro-targeted by TG's campaign will show up en masse.

Experts estimate a total of 500-700,000 or 25% of GOP Registered voters will participate.

Charlie's whole campaign has been the shotgun effect attempting to appeal to all constituencies. The majority of those folks won't be voting on election day.

Edge Gallagher.

8:54
You forgot to mention Gallagher's raised close to $10 mill, more than enough to do maximum damage to the Crist campaign!
And don't forget the 527 mill we're still holding back.

9:41
Charlie doesn't have a wife. He has a "boytoy" and his name's Conservative Voter and lives in Palm Beach.

Go Terminator!!!!

Mega-dittos my friend!

Tom Gallagher kicked butt at the League of Cities forum yesterday.

Mr. No-policy was a No-show.

There are some of us that would wecome TG going negative, so that we could present the "REAL" Tom Gallagher to Floridians, not this "re-invented" guy. Will love to hear "first hand" from all the people on issues like sex on a mercedes hoods, would love to hear "directly" from several women who directly had interactions with tom just how "conseravtive" a things he did with them, and asked them to do. Would love to read and hear first hand for the many witnesses wanting to talk out directly but are just waiting and seeing what TG does. Doesn't it dawn on people that these poeple EXIST!!. Not to mention the still unreported crony deals. How you think Tom became the millionare and richest candidate in this race. A man like TG should know that with his type of baggage, and filth laden background, there is no one on earth that should be able to talk him inot going negative, no wife, no camapign manager, no one, if Brett and Laura think they know it all, they are sure in for some major revelation that would not just finish of TG for good, his name would become infamous and anyone associated like Brett would simply put would forever destro any future political aspirations they may have had. As for Laura, she thinks she has change a tigers stripes..okay ingorance is bliss. Be careful what you wish for TGrs, people that TG had his liasion with and screwed over with crony deals are real and the stories aint pretty and they want to talk.

The Gallagher campaign has probably made the following, more realistic assessment of this past week's events:

1) An orchestrated series of marginally irrelevant endorsements.
- John McCain. He lost the GOP primary in 206 by 85-15. Note - that is the group Charlie needs to get past the Sept. 5 primary. Is that REALLY a favorable endorsment?
- The NRA. That is serious. On the other hand, I would love to see Charlie actually fire a weapon instead of just sniffing around them at a gun show.
- The Hospitality workers. Yes. Thare's a steady group of Republicans...

2) A rehashing of 2-week old "news" that TG was 30 points down. Well, the more recent polls cut that back to about 19 a week ago.

3) The resignation of a couple of good, but highly replaceable folks.

4) Willingness of over a dozen lawmakers to stand with TG in Orlando as he said he was staying in. This included former RPOF Chairman Al Cardenas.

5) Fast closing polls (not the St. Crist, of course).

6) Direct contact figures which consistently show TG is being well receive.

CONCLUSIONS:
1) TG has NO REASON TO GET OUT

2) CC people are desperate to get TG out lest CC be forced into debating (horrors!) or, even worse, have to face the criical couple of weeks of the BUILDING A GRASSROOTS OPERATION - BECAUSE CC DOESN'T HAVE ONE!

3) CC's campaign is behind the orchestrated effort to get TG to quit.
If CC is so desperate to get TG out, CC must be the one in very sorry shape.

And by the way, zenator. You are too. And we all know it.

8:31 #2-

I hear from a solid source that Rod Smith is going to fire all of his staff, turn over control of his campaign to US Sugar, and is going to register as a Republican.

In case you missed it, your boy was nearly doubled AGAIN in the last weekly filing.

You are a moron.

11:18
Hey buddy, at least Gallagher was a player in his past. That's something any red blooded American male would be darn proud of.

Not like those liberal "girlie man" chardonnay sipping, quiche eating, yellow mustang convertible driving weenie pinkos working for Charlie.

I'm not quite sure what we can say about Charlie Crist or his past?

He's kind of like Pat on the old SNL skits. You don't know quite what to make of the guy.

I think the next time I see him, I'm going to give him the Crocodile Dundee test to find out what the deal really is?

11:25,
What "closing polls" are you referring to?

Yeah, next time we have a bad hurricane, you want somebody in Tallahassee running things who doesn't know what the Cat fund is. Why don't we just cut to the chase and vote for Kathleen Blanco. She must be about finished in louisiana...

11:25 - Zogby

OK HOW ABOUT SOME BI-PARTISAN COOPERATION HERE:

Gov: Charlie Crist (R?)
Lt. Gov: Kathleen Blanco (D, former Gov. of Louisiana.) knows as much about handling a crisis as Charlie. Still hasn't decided yo call a state of emergency...

Yeah TG knows the issues alright . He knows exactly how to Flip Flop on the issues . TG needs to quit the race .

Crist for Governor .

CC needs to get out there are tell people what he is going to do. We can't vote blindly...

Terminator

I'm looking around at the groundwar and see little to no support for TG.
His newfound love of gun rights didn't help either.
TG has always been anti-gun and now he's trying to make people think otherwise . It has hurt him badly . Gunowners support Crist and rightfully so .

Again, why is the NRA supporting Charlie?

terminal,

it's nice to see that you have survived the tough gallagher week.

just when we think that you and your mega-taxer might make a smart move, you make the only dumb choice and stay in.

the $25 that gallagher raised this last period won't buy enough gas for your suv to make it out of town.

your time is going to come... soon!

hasta la vista baby

...speaking of TG staff leaving....where's Todd Reid, former comm dir for Byrd who was in TG's campaign inner circle? Did he finally move back to VA?

TG supported gun bans , as well as ammunition and pistol registration schemes .
TG just recently realized that gunowners don't forget EXTREME policy stances like that, and now TG is feeling the effects of being an anti-gun flip flopper .

TG has tried to pass himself off as pro-gun but he's not fooling anyone.

That's why the NRA endorsed Crist . Crist has always supported gun rights .


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