So, I generally think that all of you who read this blog listen to Ante Up! If you don't, then give it a listen if you're curious about how my trip to Foxwoods went. The short version: I flew 1,300 miles, drove an hour to the casino, waited 5 hours to sit at a table, basically played four hands (two in $2-$4 O8B and two in $1-2 NLHE) and won $25 total. Nuff said!
So this afternoon I went to Derby Lane to play double flop, and after winning the first hand with a nut flush, I gradually got sucked out on and my stack dwindled until I was forced to raise all-in with AKo for basically $9. I flopped top pair on both boards (Ace on top, King on bottom) but someone had called an $8 capped-first-round bet with 4♥7♥ and made a flush on the river on one board. Another old-timer held a pair of queens and made trips on the river. He stayed in despite the King and Ace on each board. So I busted out, oh well. If you add up all the winnings I have in double flop this was hardly a setback and I only bought in for 20 bets.
But I'm on vacation this week, and I want to play more poker. So I went home and signed on to PokerRoom. After doing today's show I thought about my bankroll, and thought about how much I have in it. Then I thought, why not play at a larger table today? So I bought in to the $2-$2 NL Hold 'Em table. There were some big stacks in there already, some with $350+ and most with $250ish. Some were in there with $20 (?!?) so you get the idea. I won a $10 pot early and then the blinds (and a loose call or two) had eaten that up already. So here's the hand, and I want you to be brutally honest with me, because I know this was a ballsy move, but at the end I felt like I had no choice.
OK, I'm second to act and I get dealt A♠K♠. This is a very powerful hand and my first instinct is to raise to $6, but before I can do that, UTG (who had about $250) raised to $10. At this point I contemplate re-raising to $20-$25, but since the blinds are only $1-$2, I felt the raise was sufficient to get heads-up with UTG. Everyone folded except the guy in the BB. He waited awhile and then called. BTW, he had $240. The pot = $33. In my mind I put the UTG with a medium pair, like 8-8 through even J-J. I just got the impression from such a big raise that he didn't want us to see a flop. As for the caller, I'm really not sure what to put him on. I mean, UTG raised a bunch and I smooth-called. What the hell kind of hand could he have to just call with? So I decided he might have the same hand as me, AK, or even AQ. If he had a monster like AA or KK I think he would've re-raised to get heads-up, or at least try to find out where we were.
Anyway, here's the flop: J♦10♦4♥. The initial raiser made the standard continuation bet, and it was for $10, a third of the pot. I took this as weakness and as an "obligation" not as strength. If he was serious about taking down this pot I thought he should've at least bet half the pot, and considering the flush and straight draws out there, he probably should've bet something like the size of the pot or more to discourage pot odds. Since he didn't do that I figured he was putting out a tester bet, and I came over the top for $25. So now there's $68 in the pot, and I think that raise might've been a mistake on my part because I gave the BB almost 3-to-1 on a call. If he had something like A♦Q♦ then he had 12 outs to make the winning hand. So he'd be getting the right money to call. Then the UTG called! What the hell does he have? A-A? Trips?
The turn was a 3♥. With two flush draws and two straight draws out there they both checked, and I fired another $20 bet, hoping it looked like a PLEASE CALL ME bet. I also realized now that $20 into a $108 pot probably wasn't enough because of drawing pot odds, but I was on a semibluff here and I wanted it to look like I was confident I was going to win. Two calls made the pot $148ish (not accounting for the rake).
The river: Q♦. I made Broadway, but now the diamond draw would've gotten there. I got two checks. I think to myself, if they had the nut flush, would they really miss an opportunity here to value bet? I've been showing strength the whole way and at this point I have $43 left. If they have the nuts and put me all-in they know I'm most likely going to make a crying call. But they checked, and that's when I decided I needed to put in my last dime, in case they had the second or third nut flush and may fold (though I knew it was unlikely). The BB called me and the UTG folded. I turned over my straight and he actually showed me his cards: Q♥J♥.
So if we recap his hand from the beginning, he played it out of position, hit top pair (just jacks with a mediocre kicker), and picked up a flush draw on the turn. Despite a huge preflop raise UTG and a caller in Seat 2, he elected to stupidly defend his BB buy forking over another $8. It ultimately cost him about $90. How does he think his pair of jacks is good there to warrant calling a $25 re-raise? Does he really bank on backdoor straight and flush possibilities? So the turn gave him a flush draw, but even then, does he really have confidence that I don't have A♥K♥? Or even A♥10♥? That queen was such a BAD CARD for him. If he only has jacks at the end he folds. Instead he has to call because there's so much out there and I take down a $250 pot.
OK, so let the berating begin. Tell me if I played this wrong. It was a huge pot, one of the biggest I've ever one, if not THE biggest. I always get so tired of missing the flop and folding like a cheap suit. I decided early on that if I had outs I was going to play this hand from beginning to end very strongly. I did nothing to indicate weakness and they continued to not believe me. Also, what do you think UTG had? My guess is what I guessed originally. Maybe he had trip 10s and folded to the possible flush/straight? Because if he had 8s or 9s he has to let the hand go to my re-raise and my subsequent bet on the turn. He didn't, and he didn't reraise, he just called. I think he had trips and was hoping to fill up, but I really can't tell what he had. Maybe he had pocket rockets and knew they were beat. I don't know. Anyway, I'm happy with the outcome and got lucky, but did I make a mistake?
I'll let you decide.
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