Big Brother All-Stars odds
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The art of poker | Main | My marketing idea »

July 07, 2006

Big Brother All-Stars odds

OK, this post has absolutely NOTHING to do with poker. But here's the deal: I'm a reality TV junkie and - shock - a degenerate gambler, so after watching last night's premiere of Big Brother All-Stars, I decided to make my first attempt at handicapping anything. Sure, I could just share my oddsmaking with the six or seven fans of the show out there. But by posting it here, I get it out in public, so if I actually nail any of this on the head in September, I can say "Told ya."

So, if anyone is still reading, here are my odds to WIN:
1. NAKOMIS (3-1): Creative player with no allies or enemies. Also, the only player with green hair. That has to count for something.
2. DIANE (5-1): Unattached, and just smart enough that she could win in the final vote. If she doesn't fall in love - again.
3. WILL (8-1): Sure, everyone SAYS they're gunning for him, but that's what happened last time. Paging Dr. Evil ...
4. JAMES (10-1): Yes, everyone wants to eliminate everyone from Season 6 pronto, but a plan like that never works. And if anyone is slick enough to escape, it's Jimmy Boy.
5. JASE (12-1): Going in, I would have never given him this much respect. OK, so I still don't give him much respect. But he might just might be the key swing player.
6. ALISON (15-1): Yeah, she's nominated this week. But I think she'll stick around. The guys have to cuddle with some one. And no one is a better "Floater."
7. MIKE BOOGIE (18-1): Really has no chance on his own, but he could ride Will's evil coattails just far enough to count.
8. MARCELLAS (20-1): One of the true mysteries in the bunch.
9. ERIKA (23-1): No one thinks she should be even playing.
10. DANIELLE (25-1): Who exposes their cards THIS early? Sigh. She was one of my early favorites, but is likely going home this week.
11. KAYSAR (30-1): Man, Season 6 is HATED.
12. JANELLE (35-1): Man, Season 6 is REALLY HATED.
13. GEORGE (50-1): Guess every cast needs an old guy. Good luck, Col. Sanders.
14. HOWIE (50-1): Odds improve to 49-1 if in a Big Brother twist, Obi-Wan, Yoda and The Force join the game.

Comments

Mkay. No one else has the guts to say it so I will.Ewwwwww. Get.a.life.Ü

And no one is a better "Floater."Wow, you just made me spit my Bud Select Out.... Darn you...

So like dude, you're right Erika shouldn't be in the all-star cast at all, which is why she is gonna win. Don't you remember all-star survivor ? The ones you think are the real all-stars were outta there early. No one sees her as a threat (except Allison who she already got out of the house. And need I point out that you already got the first eviction wrong?). Besides the odd plastic surgery it appears Erika had since she was last on screen (am I the only one to notice and be bothered by this?) may just give her enough silicon to slide right into the winners circle. I'm so gonna win this bet against my loser friends!

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About This Blog

Christopher Cosenza is co-host of the longest running poker podcast on the planet, Ante Up! He started playing poker seriously in 2003 and his favorite players are Phil Ivey and Kenna James, though he tends to act like Phil Hellmuth if you make a bad play against him.

Scott Long, Ante Up!'s other co-host, is the author of the monthly Bet on It column in tbt*. He began gambling way too young (don't tell the fuzz!) and in the seventh grade, named his state "Gambleland" for a school project (State Animal? Loan shark, of course).

E-mail Ante Up: poker@tbt.com
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