
Say "Kanye West" eight times fast and you'll get the probable vibe
of Sunday's 50th annual Grammys Awards. The deck is so stacked in favor
of the Chicago rapper, who leads all artists with eight nominations,
it's almost certain the "Louis Vuitton don" will leave with a fat load
of loot.
It should also be a good night for British terror Amy
Winehouse and the two women in Jay-Z's life: Beyonce and Rihanna.
Handicapping the Grammys has never been easier, so my picks are no
doubt perfect. Not that you should wager your co-worker. Well, maybe a
burrito.
ALBUM OF THE YEAR NOMINEES: Foo
Fighters, Echoes, Silence, Patience & Grace; Vince Gill, These
Days; Herbie Hancock, River: The Joni Letters; Amy Winehouse, Back to
Black; Kanye West, Graduation.
THE WINNER?
Kanye West. With the exception of Winehouse, none of these performers
will even come close to ruining West's night. Herbie Hancock? It's a
fine album but . . . Herbie Hancock?! The Recording Academy uses a
"peer-based" voting system made up of oldsters who long to be cool
(they'll pick West) and youngsters who really are cool (they'll also
pick West). Also important to remember: Graduation was one of last
year's rare multiplatinum hits, and the spiraling music industry is
desperate to remind you that people still buy music legally.
BEST NEW ARTIST NOMINEES: Feist, Ledisi, Paramore, Taylor Swift, Amy Winehouse.
THE WINNER?
Amy Winehouse. This is a sublime assemblage of talent, especially the
nods to indie-cool singer-songwriter Feist and soul belter Ledisi. But
it will ultimately come down to country nymph Swift and Winehouse.
Swift is a randier version of Carrie Underwood (which I totally approve
of), but Winehouse's Back to Black album (new-school beats meet
girl-group shuffle) is a near-masterpiece. Winehouse's acceptance speech
should be a doozy.

SONG OF THE YEAR NOMINEES:
Before He Cheats (performed by Carrie Underwood); Hey There Delilah
(Plain White T's); Like a Star (Corinne Bailey Rae); Rehab (Amy
Winehouse); Umbrella (Rihanna).
THE WINNER?
Umbrella. The absolutely incandescent Rihanna is scheduled to perform
this silly-illy-illy smash on the awards show. So she'll already have
that going for her. The Grammys like to spread the love around among
young talent, so they probably won't go back to Winehouse. Underwood
sells tons of albums, but she had her moment last year.
RECORD OF THE YEAR NOMINEES: Irreplaceable
(performed by Beyonce); The Pretender (Foo Fighters); Umbrella
(Rihanna); What Goes Around . . . Comes Around (Justin Timberlake);
Rehab (Amy Winehouse).
THE WINNER?
Irreplaceable. Whereas song of the year is for the songwriters, record
of the year is for the artist and producer. The Grammys have a major
crush on Beyonce, too: She's pretty, she's clean, she's a vavoomish
ambassador for pop music. Having already acknowledged Winehouse and
Rihanna, they'll give B some love. Besides, Irreplaceable was a
monster.
BEST ROCK ALBUM NOMINEES: Daughtry,
Daughtry; John Fogerty, Revival; Foo Fighters, Echoes, Silence,
Patience & Grace; Bruce Springsteen, Magic; Wilco, Sky Blue Sky.
WINNER?
Foo Fighters. The Grammys will probably screw this one up, but they
kind of have to. The Foos are the only act in this category also up for
album of the year, so do the math. If I were a member of the academy,
however, I'd vote for the raw, rawkin' anger of Fogerty. He won't win,
but he should.
BEST COUNTRY ALBUM NOMINEES:
Dierks Bentley, Long Trip Alone; Vince Gill, These Days; Tim McGraw,
Let It Go; Brad Paisley, 5th Gear; George Strait, It Just Comes
Natural.
THE WINNER? Vince Gill. Again, Gill
is the only nominee here also up for the big prize, so he's money in
the bank. But the award should go to Paisley, whose ability to sing,
write and pick the heck out of his guitar is a rare treat in modern
country. On a final note, it's a crime that Miranda Lambe