Realtors handing sellers pink slips
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Main | Builders just can't say no »

August 26, 2007

Realtors handing sellers pink slips

Better lower your home price or your Realtor might just fire you. Come again?

One of the hot topics of the just-concluded Orlando Realtors' convention was home sellers' inability to attract buyers. The biggest reason: Sellers set their prices unrealistically high, as if the boom never ended.

Here's Ted Jones The Economist talking to Realtors about homeowners who won't listen to the low-balling logic of the current market: "Lose them. There are times when it pays to fire a customer."

Here's his argument. If you divide the number of homes on the market by monthly home sales you can calculate what Realtors call "monthly supply." It's how long it would take, based on current sales, to exhaust the supply of homes on the market. Look at this chart:

More than a 12-month supply = Falling prices

Eight to 9 month-supply = Stable prices

Less than a 6-month supply = Rising prices

The Tampa Bay area's housing supply has been stuck well above 12 months. Draw your own conclusions.

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About This Blog

(Un)Real Estate offers a peek at the housing market usually reserved for insiders. While it focuses on the Tampa Bay area, it won't neglect dipping into the rest of Florida and beyond. Its goal? Simple: To help you keep a roof over your head without losing your shirt.

Times business reporter James Thorner has covered the Tampa Bay area housing market since 1999 and writes a weekly column on the topic in the St. Petersburg Times. Having recently bought and sold a house here, Thorner has shown his insights are more than theory. He's got the burn marks to prove it.

E-mail James Thorner: jthorner@sptimes.com.

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